Thursday, January 01, 2009

Predictions for 2009

Here are my predictions for the new year
  • Computer security still remains unaddressed, as nobody cares enough to fix it.
  • The insecurity of the nodes on the ends becomes an even more valid reason to offer internet access instead of true connectivity
  • IPv6 still sits on hold and fails to get traction.
  • The value of the US dollar increases for a while, then drops to a new low of 1 cent relative to the 1913 value.
  • The cutover to digital TV goes bad, and gets postponed at least 6 months.
  • Netbooks continue to become more popular
  • Fixing things will emerge as the hot new skill set as consumerism ceases to be a viable lifestyle choice for many.
  • Just In Time as a management strategy will be shown the door.
  • Sneakernet comes back into style as a way to transfer data outside of the net.
  • Wifi networks for small groups that aren't network connected will begin to become popular for neighbors in rural areas.
  • Software to distribute twitter like feeds amoung ham radio operators takes off, and causes a huge number of no-code amateurs to take up packet 2.0 to get around the phone companies.
  • A new standard for tagging links with additional information takes off, allowing us all to vote on anything with a link.
  • HyperText Markup Language continues to prohibit the markup of existing hypertext. (A personal pet peeve)
  • The US dollar is devalued to 1/2000 ounce of gold, or 1/200 ounce of silver. Gold bugs rejoice. Inflation killed dead in its tracks.
  • Growing ones own food becomes a popular hobby.
Ok... it's 1 AM while I'm writing this... and it's a wild stab in the dark. I look forward to the year ahead. I live in interesting times, and hope to do so for a long time.


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